Kuzey Kore 0-1 Özbekistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.54
6+ Goals
7%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Kore EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Özbekistan EU Bookmakers 52%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.70
-100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Kore
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Özbekistan
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.22 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
376 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 17
05.09.2024 Özbekistan Özbekistan 1-0 HT 1-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore DKE
07.06.2019 Özbekistan Özbekistan 4-0 HT 1-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore HAZ
13.10.2018 Özbekistan Özbekistan 2-0 HT 1-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore HAZ
12.11.2015 Özbekistan Özbekistan 3-1 HT 1-1 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore DKE
10.01.2015 Özbekistan Özbekistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Kore
0-1
AWAY Özbekistan
1.14 xG 1.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
423 Passes 263
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Kore vs Özbekistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Özbekistan edged past Kuzey Kore 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Özbekistan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kuzey Kore had 59% of the ball to Özbekistan's 41%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.14 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Özbekistan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Kuzey Kore and 2.20 for Özbekistan.

What was the final score of Kuzey Kore vs Özbekistan?

Kuzey Kore 0-1 Özbekistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Kore vs Özbekistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Özbekistan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Kore 27%, draw 31%, Özbekistan 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Özbekistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Özbekistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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