Endonezya 2-0 Suudi Arabistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Nov 2024

Endonezya
2-0 HT 1-0
Suudi Arabistan
📅19/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Endonezya vs Suudi Arabistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 32% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Endonezya v Suudi Arabistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Suudi Arabistan EU Bookmakers 53%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.38/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
-100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +73%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
14.0 Crosses 12.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Endonezya vs Suudi Arabistan Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Suudi Arabistan
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.36 xG 1.69
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
229 Passes 505
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.09.2024 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 1-1 HT 1-1 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
05.03.2014 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Endonezya Endonezya ASKE
23.03.2013 Endonezya Endonezya 1-2 HT 1-1 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan ASKE
14.07.2007 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 2-1 HT 1-1 Endonezya Endonezya ASK

Endonezya 2-0 Suudi Arabistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
2-0
AWAY Suudi Arabistan
1.98 xG 1.61
23% Ball Possession 77%
13 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 12
102 Passes 480
59% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 39
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Suudi Arabistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Endonezya got the better of Suudi Arabistan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Suudi Arabistan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Endonezya had 23% of the ball to Suudi Arabistan's 77%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 1.98 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Suudi Arabistan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Endonezya and 1.50 for Suudi Arabistan.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Suudi Arabistan?

Endonezya 2-0 Suudi Arabistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Suudi Arabistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suudi Arabistan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 28%, draw 32%, Suudi Arabistan 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Suudi Arabistan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
19 Nov 2024
15:00 Kuzey Kore vs Özbekistan Analysis →
15:00 Çin vs Japonya Analysis →
17:00 Kırgızistan vs İran Analysis →
17:00 Filistin vs Güney Kore Analysis →
19:00 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Katar Analysis →
19:00 Umman vs Irak Analysis →