Suudi Arabistan 1-1 Endonezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-2.5pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.2pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suudi Arabistan EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Endonezya EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.23/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/1.65
+3% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -48%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 5.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suudi Arabistan
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Endonezya
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
32 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target
10 Corners 2
05.03.2014 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Endonezya Endonezya ASKE
23.03.2013 Endonezya Endonezya 1-2 HT 1-1 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan ASKE
14.07.2007 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 2-1 HT 1-1 Endonezya Endonezya ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suudi Arabistan
1-1
AWAY Endonezya
1.69 xG 0.36
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
505 Passes 229
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Suudi Arabistan vs Endonezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suudi Arabistan and Endonezya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Suudi Arabistan carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suudi Arabistan had 66% of the ball to Endonezya's 34%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.69 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Suudi Arabistan had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Suudi Arabistan and 0.67 for Endonezya.

What was the final score of Suudi Arabistan vs Endonezya?

Suudi Arabistan 1-1 Endonezya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suudi Arabistan vs Endonezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suudi Arabistan win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Suudi Arabistan 69%, draw 18%, Endonezya 13%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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