Beerschot VA 2-2 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.88 — our 24% vs market 19.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.19
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.85
X/2
10%
6.51
X/X
9%
4.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.85
2/X
10%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.54/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.33
-25% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
295 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.5 Crosses 17.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 347
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
13.02.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.11.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
27.01.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
07.11.2020 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5-5 HT 2-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
19.07.2018 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-1 HT 0-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk HAZ
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA and Kortrijk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beerschot VA at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beerschot VA and 1.50 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Kortrijk?

Beerschot VA 2-2 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 45%, draw 25%, Kortrijk 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beerschot VA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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