Sporting Charleroi 2-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Dec 2024

Sporting Charleroi
2-1 HT 1-0
St. Truidense
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
13%
9.07
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
8%
6.75
2/X
6%
14.55
Value flag · 1/X at 13.85 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Charleroi v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.76/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.59
-15% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.9 Crosses 13.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
360 Passes 383
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.08.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-4 HT 0-4 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
03.09.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
26.02.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
15.10.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
28.01.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi nicked a narrow win over St. Truidense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 0.83 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense?

Sporting Charleroi 2-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 45%, draw 29%, St. Truidense 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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