Dender EH 1-3 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.52
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
7%
7.35
X/2
19%
4.52
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.78
2/X
12%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
0.92/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
18.6 Crosses 18.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.65
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
201 Passes 673
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 48
9 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
04.06.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL2
31.05.2009 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-2 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-3
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.65 xG 0.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
396 Passes 505
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp saw off Dender EH 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Royal Antwerp as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dender EH had 45% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 55%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dender EH and 1.00 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Royal Antwerp?

Dender EH 1-3 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 27%, draw 29%, Royal Antwerp 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royal Antwerp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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