Always Ready 2-3 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Always Ready EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.08/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.41
-44% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.8 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Always Ready
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aurora
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
09.12.2023 Aurora Aurora 4-1 HT 3-1 Always Ready Always Ready BOLPLK
29.11.2023 Always Ready Always Ready 0-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
09.07.2023 Always Ready Always Ready 3-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
06.02.2023 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
17.09.2022 Always Ready Always Ready 0-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Always Ready
2-3
AWAY Aurora
0.98 xG 2.36
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
450 Passes 284
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Always Ready vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past Always Ready 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Always Ready at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Always Ready had 59% of the ball to Aurora's 41%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.98 to 2.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aurora's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Always Ready and 1.33 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Always Ready vs Aurora?

Always Ready 2-3 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Always Ready vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Always Ready win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Always Ready 47%, draw 22%, Aurora 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Always Ready) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Always Ready) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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