Nacional Potosi 1-2 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.4pp
24%
Draw
13%
+11.0pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
2.16/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.67
+22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 76%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
25.2 Crosses 11.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 250
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
17.04.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
07.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi CON CSA
03.10.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.08.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
17.04.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
1-2
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
2.79 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 4
319 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto edged past Nacional Potosi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Nacional Potosi carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 54% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 46%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 2.79 to 1.11 — on chances, Nacional Potosi could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.17 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Universitario de Vinto?

Nacional Potosi 1-2 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 61%, draw 24%, Universitario de Vinto 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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