Bala Town 3-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

Bala Town
3-1 HT 1-0
Barry Town
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bala Town vs Barry Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
13%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 34% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bala Town v Barry Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.76/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.76
+7% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bala Town vs Barry Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Barry Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
23.09.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
12.08.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
23.10.2021 Bala Town Bala Town 3-3 HT 3-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
21.08.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
01.05.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town beat Barry Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bala Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bala Town and 1.33 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Barry Town?

Bala Town 3-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 47%, draw 30%, Barry Town 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bala Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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