Bangor FC 3-2 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.1
2-3 Goals
43%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.41
6+ Goals
12%
4.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+11.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
2.03/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.43
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-0 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
09.03.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-4 HT 0-2 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
28.10.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
09.09.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-3 HT 0-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Bangor FC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC nicked a narrow win over Ballinamallard United 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bangor FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Bangor FC and 1.75 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Bangor FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Bangor FC 3-2 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bangor FC 51%, draw 21%, Ballinamallard United 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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