Famalicao vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Famalicao v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Famalicao vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
3-3
HT 2-0
Famalicao
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Farense
POR2
Famalicao 1-2 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Farense edged past Famalicao 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Farense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Famalicao had 74% of the ball to Farense's 26%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.37 to 0.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Famalicao.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Famalicao had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Famalicao and 1.00 for Farense.
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Farense?
Famalicao 1-2 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 38%, draw 33%, Farense 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.