Moreirense 0-3 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.07
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.3
1/2
10%
25.0
1/X
6%
19.65
X/1
6%
13.1
X/2
19%
3.51
X/X
15%
5.46
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.87
2/X
5%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
52%
Away Win
63%
-10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.4pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 67%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.88/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.92
+5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
202 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 83%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
13.7 Crosses 18.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Porto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.36 xG 2.22
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
201 Passes 465
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 2-1 HT 1-1 Porto Porto POK
31.10.2024 Porto Porto 2-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense PORLC
20.01.2024 Porto Porto 5-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
14.08.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 1-2 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
20.02.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 0-1 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
19.09.2021 Porto Porto 5-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
0-3
AWAY Porto
0.34 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
340 Passes 387
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto ran out comfortable winners over Moreirense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Moreirense had 47% of the ball to Porto's 53%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.34 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moreirense and 2.67 for Porto.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Porto?

Moreirense 0-3 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 22%, draw 26%, Porto 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
21 Dec 2024
18:30 Famalicao vs Farense Analysis →
21:00 Boavista vs AVS Analysis →