IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.53/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.48
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.6 Crosses 21.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
345 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
22.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
29.03.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
23.10.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-1
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
2.31 xG 0.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
309 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd and Zeleznicar Pancevo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 55% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 45%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.31 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.50 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 44%, draw 23%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Over 2.5
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