Erzurumspor FK 0-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
18%
3.94
X/2
9%
10.45
X/X
11%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.3
2/2
10%
8.31
2/X
7%
16.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.52/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.87
+29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.2 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.13
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
213 Passes 405
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor TÜK
15.04.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
24.11.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
02.05.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
03.12.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.33 xG 0.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
202 Passes 236
62% Pass Accuracy 65%
9 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK and Sakaryaspor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Erzurumspor FK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 47% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 53%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.33 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.00 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Erzurumspor FK 0-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 49%, draw 26%, Sakaryaspor 25%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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