Manisa FK 2-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
19%
4.11
X/2
8%
8.23
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
15%
6.67
2/X
7%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.31/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.23
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.8 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.01
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
448 Passes 190
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
25.12.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
03.12.2020 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
02.02.2020 Manisa FK Manisa FK 7-0 HT 4-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
21.09.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-3 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
06.03.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-2 HT 0-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
2-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.22 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
269 Passes 271
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK squeezed past Şanlıurfaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manisa FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Manisa FK had 50% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 50%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.22 to 1.67 — on chances, Şanlıurfaspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manisa FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Manisa FK and 0.83 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Manisa FK 2-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 45%, draw 27%, Şanlıurfaspor 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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