Beşiktaş 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.33
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
9%
8.89
X/X
10%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.55
2/2
10%
6.44
2/X
10%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.74/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.27
-3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.4 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
361 Passes 405
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
21.12.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
27.01.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.08.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-3 HT 1-3 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
09.04.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-1 HT 3-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
20.11.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.98 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
353 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş and Alanyaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 56% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.98 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.67 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Alanyaspor?

Beşiktaş 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 46%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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