Sivasspor 0-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.83
1/2
11%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
9%
6.82
X/2
17%
4.9
X/X
17%
4.62
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.03
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.23/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.75
-11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
17.9 Crosses 23.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.58 xG 1.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 363
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
13.08.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
12.02.2017 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
10.09.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
07.04.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
21.12.2011 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-2 HT 2-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
0-0
AWAY Samsunspor
0.37 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
310 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor and Samsunspor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 46% of the ball to Samsunspor's 54%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.37 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sivasspor and 1.17 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Samsunspor?

Sivasspor 0-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 30%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Samsunspor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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