Alanyaspor 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
10%
6.07
X/2
7%
5.31
X/X
12%
5.46
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.19
2/X
10%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.66/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.27
+27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.5 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.50 xG 1.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 362
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
27.01.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.08.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-3 HT 1-3 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
09.04.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-1 HT 3-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
20.11.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
07.04.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.76 xG 0.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
426 Passes 316
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor and Beşiktaş shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 55% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 45%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.76 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.33 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

Alanyaspor 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 38%, draw 27%, Beşiktaş 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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