Olympiakos 1-0 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.3
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
19%
3.18
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
8%
9.59
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
6%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-12.5pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.0pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.8pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 8%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
2.20/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.69
+20% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
25.9 Crosses 9.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lamia
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.54 xG 0.59
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
437 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
07.04.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-5 HT 0-3 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
03.01.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
03.09.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
19.02.2023 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
30.10.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-0
AWAY Lamia
2.13 xG 0.96
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
470 Passes 160
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
37 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos squeezed past Lamia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olympiakos had 70% of the ball to Lamia's 30%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.13 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Olympiakos and 0.33 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Lamia?

Olympiakos 1-0 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 68%, draw 19%, Lamia 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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