CD Aguilas 1-1 Real Jaen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.22/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.41
-14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
1-1
AWAY Real Jaen
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Real Jaen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas and Real Jaen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Aguilas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 46% of the ball to Real Jaen's 54%, shots finished 5-4.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Real Jaen?

CD Aguilas 1-1 Real Jaen in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Real Jaen?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 45%, draw 31%, Real Jaen 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Aguilas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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