Fiorentina U20 0-1 Cagliari U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.21/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.82
+17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cagliari U20
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 2-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 İTAPŞ1
05.02.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 2-2 HT 1-2 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 İTAKPR
23.12.2024 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Cagliari U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U20 edged past Fiorentina U20 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Fiorentina U20 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 1.33 for Cagliari U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Fiorentina U20 0-1 Cagliari U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 55%, draw 29%, Cagliari U20 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Under 2.5
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