Novara 0-3 Ospitaletto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.26/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.50
-5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
0-3
AWAY Ospitaletto
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novara vs Ospitaletto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ospitaletto ran out comfortable winners over Novara 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Novara at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novara had 55% of the ball to Ospitaletto's 45%, shots finished 17-14.

What was the final score of Novara vs Ospitaletto?

Novara 0-3 Ospitaletto in the Italy - Serie C on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Ospitaletto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novara 44%, draw 27%, Ospitaletto 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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