Catania 2-0 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
7%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.55/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.64
-2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
558 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
14.05.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
2-0
AWAY Atalanta II
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catania vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania saw off Atalanta II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Catania had 45% of the ball to Atalanta II's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Catania and 0.50 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Catania vs Atalanta II?

Catania 2-0 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Catania 54%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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