US Latina 1-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
0.70/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.03
-34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
232 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Crotone
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Crotone Crotone 4-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
17.11.2024 US Latina US Latina 0-4 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
10.03.2024 Crotone Crotone 1-3 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.11.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
25.03.2023 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
27.11.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-1
AWAY Crotone
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina and Crotone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, US Latina had 42% of the ball to Crotone's 58%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for US Latina and 2.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Crotone?

US Latina 1-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split US Latina 26%, draw 25%, Crotone 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crotone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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