Vicenza 1-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
67%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.94/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.38
+14% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Triestina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
08.12.2024 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
25.02.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
28.11.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTCK
20.10.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
19.03.2023 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-0
AWAY Triestina
62% Ball Possession 38%
29 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza squeezed past Triestina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Vicenza had 62% of the ball to Triestina's 38%, shots finished 29-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vicenza and 0.50 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Triestina?

Vicenza 1-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 64%, draw 21%, Triestina 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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