Vicenza 1-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.34
2-3 Goals
48%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.7
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
1.72/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.63
+9% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Triestina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
25.02.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
28.11.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTCK
20.10.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
19.03.2023 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
19.11.2022 Vicenza Vicenza 4-0 HT 3-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-0
AWAY Triestina
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza nicked a narrow win over Triestina 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vicenza had 42% of the ball to Triestina's 58%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vicenza and 0.50 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Triestina?

Vicenza 1-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 50%, draw 27%, Triestina 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
18 Apr 2025
21:00 Renate vs Pergolettese Analysis →
21:00 Novara vs Trento AC Analysis →
21:00 AlbinoLeffe vs Alcione Analysis →
21:00 Atalanta II vs Arzignano Valchiampo Analysis →
21:00 GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
21:00 Caldiero Terme vs Lecco Analysis →