Perugia 4-0 Forli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.5pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Forli EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.71/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.05
+30% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
4-0
AWAY Forli
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Forli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia swept aside Forli 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perugia had 48% of the ball to Forli's 52%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Forli?

Perugia 4-0 Forli in the Italy - Serie C on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Forli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Perugia 48%, draw 25%, Forli 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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