Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL1
2-4
HT 1-3
Mainz 05
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL2
2-2
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
Mainz 05 0-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 and St. Pauli fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 53% of the ball to St. Pauli's 47%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.12 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mainz 05 and 1.17 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli?
Mainz 05 0-0 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 44%, draw 28%, St. Pauli 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mainz 05), BTTS Yes went the other way.