Helmond Sport 2-2 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Dec 2025

Helmond Sport
2 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Willem II
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Helmond Sport vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.29
Over Pick
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.62
2-3
42%
1.9
4-5
29%
2.72
6+
11%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.81
1/2 ✗
3%
24.0
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
12%
6.4
X/2
13%
5.93
X/X
16%
5.56
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
22%
3.39
2/X
5%
12.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 3% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Helmond Sport v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Helmond Sport The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II The Market 43%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.64 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
1.45 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2

Helmond Sport vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Willem II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.79 xG 2.49
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 417
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2025 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
29.03.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-2 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL2
15.12.2023 Willem II Willem II 4-1 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.02.2023 Willem II Willem II 5-1 HT 2-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
14.10.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-3 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL2
14.07.2015 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HAZ

Helmond Sport 2-2 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
2 - 2
AWAY Willem II
2.30 xG 3.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
307 Passes 392
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Helmond Sport vs Willem II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Helmond Sport and Willem II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

The preview numbers (36% / 26% / 38%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Willem II saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.30 to 3.12.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Helmond Sport against 2.67 for Willem II.

Helmond Sport vs Willem II Result & Final Score

Helmond Sport 2 - 2 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Helmond Sport vs Willem II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 36%, draw 26%, Willem II 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
21 Dec 2025
14:15 Den Bosch vs Vitesse Analysis →