Southern District RSA 1-3 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - FA Cup, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 49%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / -100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
4W-1D-1L
AWAY North District
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 North District North District 2-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
27.04.2025 North District North District 2-3 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
15.02.2025 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 4-1 HT 1-1 North District North District HK1
05.10.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-0 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
16.03.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-2 HT 0-1 North District North District HK1
24.12.2023 North District North District 1-2 HT 1-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
1-3
AWAY North District
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District got the better of Southern District RSA 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had North District as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 37% of the ball to North District's 63%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Southern District RSA and 1.33 for North District.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs North District?

Southern District RSA 1-3 North District in the Hong Kong - FA Cup on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated an North District win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 34%, draw 24%, North District 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North District), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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