Ujpest 2-1 Kazincbarcika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 19%
-18% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.41/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.16
-32% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.2 Crosses 9.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kazincbarcika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 1.42
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 0
419 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
20.09.2025 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 2-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
2-1
AWAY Kazincbarcika
3.08 xG 0.21
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
460 Passes 197
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Kazincbarcika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest edged past Kazincbarcika 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ujpest as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ujpest had 68% of the ball to Kazincbarcika's 32%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 3.08 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ujpest's control.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Kazincbarcika?

Ujpest 2-1 Kazincbarcika in the Hungary - NB I on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Kazincbarcika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 55%, draw 26%, Kazincbarcika 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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