Debrecen 0-1 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -15%
1.46/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.78
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
24.0 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kisvarda
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
393 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2025 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
30.03.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-3 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
02.12.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
21.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 4-1 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
11.03.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
24.10.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 2-3 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
0-1
AWAY Kisvarda
1.13 xG 0.69
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
426 Passes 205
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 8
35 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda edged past Debrecen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Debrecen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Debrecen had 64% of the ball to Kisvarda's 36%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.13 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Debrecen.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Debrecen and 0.83 for Kisvarda.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Kisvarda?

Debrecen 0-1 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB I on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 48%, draw 27%, Kisvarda 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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