Farense 0-1 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2025

Farense
0-1 HT 0-0
Uniao De Leiria
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Farense vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
21.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 34% vs market 31.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Farense v Uniao De Leiria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.61/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.31
+3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.5 Crosses 17.9
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Farense vs Uniao De Leiria Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
28.04.2002 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 4-1 HT 2-1 Farense Farense POR
22.12.2001 Farense Farense 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
18.03.2001 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-0 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR
22.10.2000 Farense Farense 1-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR

Farense 0-1 Uniao De Leiria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
0-1
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.59 xG 1.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
306 Passes 243
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria squeezed past Farense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Uniao De Leiria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Farense had 57% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 43%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.59 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Farense and 2.00 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Farense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Farense 0-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Farense 40%, draw 25%, Uniao De Leiria 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Farense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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