Leixoes vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leixoes v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
Leixoes vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Maritimo
POR2
1-2
HT 1-2
Maritimo
PORLC
1-2
HT 1-2
Maritimo
POR
Leixoes 1-4 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo swept aside Leixoes 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Leixoes had 52% of the ball to Maritimo's 48%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.31 to 1.06.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leixoes and 1.17 for Maritimo.
What was the final score of Leixoes vs Maritimo?
Leixoes 1-4 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Maritimo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 25%, draw 23%, Maritimo 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo) — while BTTS No went the other way.