Leixoes 2-1 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.93
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.24/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.38
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Maritimo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
344 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
12.11.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 0-1 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
03.08.2019 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-2 Maritimo Maritimo PORLC
01.02.2010 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR
23.08.2009 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR
23.05.2009 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
2-1
AWAY Maritimo
1.73 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
223 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes squeezed past Maritimo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Leixoes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes had 42% of the ball to Maritimo's 58%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.73 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leixoes and 1.00 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Maritimo?

Leixoes 2-1 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 38%, draw 30%, Maritimo 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
10 Nov 2024
14:00 Paços De Ferreira vs Porto II Analysis →
18:30 Torreense vs Uniao De Leiria Analysis →
18:30 Benfica II vs Alverca Analysis →