Maritimo 0-0 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 32% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 20%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.21/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.34
-20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Leixoes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.46 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
329 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 0-1 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
03.08.2019 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-2 Maritimo Maritimo PORLC
01.02.2010 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR
23.08.2009 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR
23.05.2009 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
23.01.2009 Maritimo Maritimo 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
0-0
AWAY Leixoes
0.36 xG 1.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
174 Passes 391
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo and Leixoes fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maritimo had 37% of the ball to Leixoes's 63%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.36 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maritimo and 0.50 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Leixoes?

Maritimo 0-0 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 47%, draw 27%, Leixoes 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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