AVS 1-2 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.5
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
194 Passes 303
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 0-1 AVS AVS POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-2
AWAY Santa Clara
1.59 xG 1.81
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 Passes 171
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AVS vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara squeezed past AVS 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Santa Clara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AVS had 63% of the ball to Santa Clara's 37%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.59 to 1.81.

What was the final score of AVS vs Santa Clara?

AVS 1-2 Santa Clara in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AVS 33%, draw 31%, Santa Clara 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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