Uniao De Leiria vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao De Leiria v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Uniao De Leiria vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR2
3-3
HT 3-1
Nacional
PRLK
2-3
HT 0-2
Nacional
POR
2-2
HT 0-1
Uniao De Leiria
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Uniao De Leiria
POR
2-1
HT 0-0
Nacional
POR
Uniao De Leiria 1-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao De Leiria and Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 50% of the ball to Nacional's 50%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.83 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.83 for Nacional.
What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Nacional?
Uniao De Leiria 1-1 Nacional in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 35%, draw 31%, Nacional 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) went the other way.