Benfica II vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica II v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Benfica II 2-1 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica II edged past Alverca 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Benfica II had 52% of the ball to Alverca's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.39 to 1.39.
What was the final score of Benfica II vs Alverca?
Benfica II 2-1 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 42%, draw 29%, Alverca 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.