Paços De Ferreira 2-2 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.57/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.39
+20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.7 Crosses 18.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Porto II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.53 xG 1.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
214 Passes 372
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Porto II Porto II 1-3 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
07.01.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 3-0 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
2-2
AWAY Porto II
0.86 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
273 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira and Porto II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Paços De Ferreira at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 47% of the ball to Porto II's 53%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.86 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 0.50 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Porto II?

Paços De Ferreira 2-2 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 43%, draw 26%, Porto II 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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