Torreense 2-1 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.52
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.71
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.41/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.15
-11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.1 Crosses 21.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 1.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
491 Passes 275
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Torreense Torreense 0-3 HT 0-2 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
08.12.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
2-1
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.67 xG 1.32
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
443 Passes 190
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Torreense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Torreense had 66% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 34%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.67 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Torreense and 2.00 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Torreense 2-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Torreense 35%, draw 29%, Uniao De Leiria 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✗ Under 2.5
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