Maritimo vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Maritimo
POR2
1-2
HT 1-2
Maritimo
PORLC
1-2
HT 1-2
Maritimo
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Leixoes
POR
Maritimo 1-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo and Leixoes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Maritimo had 57% of the ball to Leixoes's 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.52 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maritimo and 0.67 for Leixoes.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Leixoes?
Maritimo 1-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Leixoes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 46%, draw 27%, Leixoes 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo), BTTS No went the other way.