Chaves 1-2 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

Chaves
1-2 HT 0-2
Vizela
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Chaves vs Vizela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Vizela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.60/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.14
+39% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.2 Crosses 20.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Chaves vs Vizela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vizela
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 1.30
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 401
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
15.04.2024 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-1 Chaves Chaves POR
01.12.2023 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 1-1 Vizela Vizela POR
10.02.2023 Vizela Vizela 0-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
22.11.2022 Vizela Vizela 2-2 HT 1-1 Chaves Chaves PORLC
20.08.2022 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 1-1 Vizela Vizela POR

Chaves 1-2 Vizela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
1-2
AWAY Vizela
2.07 xG 2.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
224 Passes 298
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela nicked a narrow win over Chaves 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vizela found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chaves had 46% of the ball to Vizela's 54%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.07 to 2.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chaves and 0.67 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Vizela?

Chaves 1-2 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chaves 34%, draw 29%, Vizela 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vizela) ✗ Under 2.5
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