Tondela 2-1 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.26
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 22%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.56/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.39
+1% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Feirense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Tondela Tondela POR2
06.04.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-3 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
18.11.2023 Tondela Tondela 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
06.05.2023 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
24.12.2022 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
19.10.2019 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-0 HT 2-0 Tondela Tondela POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
2-1
AWAY CD Feirense
1.69 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 0
387 Passes 259
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tondela vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela nicked a narrow win over CD Feirense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tondela had 56% of the ball to CD Feirense's 44%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.69 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tondela and 1.17 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Tondela vs CD Feirense?

Tondela 2-1 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tondela 52%, draw 25%, CD Feirense 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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