CD Feirense 1-1 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +20%
1.32/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.90
+20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +87%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tondela
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 299
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-3 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
18.11.2023 Tondela Tondela 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
06.05.2023 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
24.12.2022 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
19.10.2019 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-0 HT 2-0 Tondela Tondela POK
17.03.2019 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
1-1
AWAY Tondela
1.84 xG 1.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
301 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense and Tondela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tondela at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, CD Feirense had 57% of the ball to Tondela's 43%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.84 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Feirense and 1.33 for Tondela.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Tondela?

CD Feirense 1-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 33%, draw 26%, Tondela 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tondela), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
9 Nov 2024
14:00 Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932 Analysis →
17:00 UD Oliveirense vs Portimonense Analysis →
18:30 Mafra vs Academico Viseu Analysis →