UD Oliveirense 0-2 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

UD Oliveirense
0-2 HT 0-1
Portimonense
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

UD Oliveirense vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UD Oliveirense v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.28/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.92
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.7 Crosses 11.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

UD Oliveirense vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portimonense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
17.10.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-3 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POK
13.12.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
06.05.2015 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-4 HT 2-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
21.12.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 2-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
11.05.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
15.12.2013 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-3 HT 0-2 Portimonense Portimonense POR2

UD Oliveirense 0-2 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
0-2
AWAY Portimonense
0.26 xG 0.61
65% Ball Possession 35%
5 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
329 Passes 149
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense beat UD Oliveirense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Portimonense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 65% of the ball to Portimonense's 35%, shots finished 5-4, expected goals 0.26 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UD Oliveirense and 2.33 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Portimonense?

UD Oliveirense 0-2 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 35%, draw 26%, Portimonense 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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