Mafra 0-2 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.96
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.36/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.42
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-1 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
10.12.2023 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
12.03.2023 Mafra Mafra 2-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.09.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-0 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
30.01.2022 Mafra Mafra 0-0 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
22.08.2021 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-3 HT 0-2 Mafra Mafra POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
0-2
AWAY Academico Viseu
2.27 xG 0.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 180
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu got the better of Mafra 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Academico Viseu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Mafra had 58% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 42%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 2.27 to 0.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mafra.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mafra had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mafra and 0.67 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Academico Viseu?

Mafra 0-2 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mafra 31%, draw 30%, Academico Viseu 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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