Penafiel 2-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penafiel EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 46%
+14% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.21/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.04
-3% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penafiel
2-1
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.46 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 0
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 7
142 Passes 97
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
4 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penafiel nicked a narrow win over Felgueiras 1932 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Penafiel made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Penafiel had 44% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 56%, shots finished 6-0, expected goals 1.46 to 1.82.

What was the final score of Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932?

Penafiel 2-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 32%, draw 29%, Felgueiras 1932 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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