Penafiel vs Torreense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Torreense — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Torreense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Torreense
POR2
Penafiel 1-0 Torreense — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel nicked a narrow win over Torreense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Torreense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Penafiel had 66% of the ball to Torreense's 34%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.98 to 0.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torreense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Penafiel and 1.33 for Torreense.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Torreense?
Penafiel 1-0 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Torreense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 30%, draw 27%, Torreense 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torreense), BTTS Yes went the other way.