Penafiel vs Torreense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Torreense — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Torreense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Torreense
POR2
Penafiel 0-1 Torreense — Actual Match Statistics
Torreense edged past Penafiel 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torreense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Penafiel had 42% of the ball to Torreense's 58%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 1.38 to 2.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Torreense's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torreense led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Penafiel and 1.40 for Torreense.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Torreense?
Penafiel 0-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Torreense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 36%, draw 20%, Torreense 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.